Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.032708 0.038101 0.044036 0.051045 0.059085 0.068010 0.078658
2025-09-07 0.025743 0.033054 0.041839 0.053135 0.067230 0.084195 0.106111
2025-09-14 0.020146 0.028187 0.038623 0.053067 0.072441 0.097411 0.131899
2025-09-21 0.015747 0.023810 0.035019 0.051588 0.075266 0.107663 0.155067
2025-09-28 0.012810 0.020774 0.032553 0.051010 0.078909 0.119127 0.181004
2025-10-05 0.011416 0.019693 0.032619 0.053930 0.087740 0.138716 0.220574
2025-10-12 0.010090 0.018439 0.032150 0.055841 0.095131 0.156836 0.259835
2025-10-19 0.008411 0.016265 0.029816 0.054324 0.096747 0.166033 0.286045
2025-10-26 0.007217 0.014716 0.028261 0.053814 0.099820 0.177697 0.317208
2025-11-02 0.006085 0.013066 0.026252 0.052164 0.100618 0.185500 0.342516
2025-11-09 0.005196 0.011724 0.024592 0.050876 0.101812 0.193959 0.369600
2025-11-16 0.004589 0.010846 0.023677 0.050844 0.105256 0.206640 0.405256
2025-11-23 0.003927 0.009744 0.022180 0.049513 0.106157 0.214962 0.434207
2025-11-30 0.003660 0.009480 0.022385 0.051692 0.114259 0.237657 0.492428
2025-12-07 0.003253 0.008813 0.021619 0.051701 0.117923 0.252118 0.536169
2025-12-14 0.002804 0.007958 0.020295 0.050294 0.118414 0.260286 0.568202
2025-12-21 0.002474 0.007336 0.019412 0.049748 0.120678 0.272235 0.608960
2025-12-28 0.002375 0.007311 0.019957 0.052610 0.130849 0.301643 0.688573
2026-01-04 0.002230 0.007129 0.020087 0.054483 0.138958 0.327375 0.762642
2026-01-11 0.001942 0.006483 0.018927 0.053003 0.139028 0.335548 0.799472
2026-01-18 0.001734 0.006028 0.018196 0.052505 0.141382 0.348997 0.849086
2026-01-25 0.001509 0.005472 0.017101 0.050893 0.140785 0.355629 0.883896
2026-02-01 0.001325 0.005008 0.016187 0.049635 0.140916 0.363931 0.923221